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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Fixture ·

FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.47 expected goals
Away form
Home win66%
Draw20%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win66% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC CopenhagenSonderjyske
Expected goals3.47Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
66% / 20% / 15%Match resultHome win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sonderjyske win (14.8%)Double chance1X85.2%1.17
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.47 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapSonderjyske winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Copenhagen win66%1.521.4066.2%-0.2 pp
Draw20%5.004.7519.5%+0.5 pp
Sonderjyske win15%6.676.5014.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Copenhagen2.16

Home share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals3.47Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Sonderjyske1.31

Away share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Copenhagen

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sonderjyske

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
1
2.16
Expected goals
1.31
FC CopenhagenSonderjyske
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Copenhagen signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sonderjyske signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Copenhagen win 66%,Draw 20%,Sonderjyske win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over