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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Fixture ·

Brondby vs Sonderjyske

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw31%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1BrondbySonderjyske
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 31% / 24%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sonderjyske win (23.9%)Double chance1X76.1%1.31
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.15 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Brondby win45%2.22
Draw31%3.23
Sonderjyske win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Brondby1.39

Home share of expected goals 64.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

Sonderjyske0.76

Away share of expected goals 35.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Brondby

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sonderjyske

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.39
Expected goals
0.76
BrondbySonderjyske
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Brondby signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sonderjyske signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Brondby vs Sonderjyske FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Brondby win 45%,Draw 31%,Sonderjyske win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under