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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Match ·

Bröndby vs Sonderjyske

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger45%
Oavgjort31%
Bortaseger24%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger45% selection probability
Projected score1–1BröndbySonderjyske
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
45% / 31% / 24%MatchresultatHemmaseger45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sonderjyske win (23.9%)Dubbelchans1X76.1%1.31
Över 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Ja 41% · Nej 59%Båda lagen gör målNej59%1.69
2.15 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.3 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Bröndby win45%2.22
Oavgjort31%3.23
Sonderjyske win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bröndby1.39

Hemma share of expected goals 64.7%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 36% · Under 64%

Sonderjyske0.76

Borta share of expected goals 35.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nej 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Bröndby

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sonderjyske

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.39
Expected goals
0.76
BröndbySonderjyske
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bröndby signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sonderjyske signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Bröndby vs Sonderjyske FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bröndby vunnen 45%,Oavgjort 31%,Sonderjyske vunnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Över 2.5 36% · Current selection Under