Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 29% / 18%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad de Concepcion win (17.8%)Double chance1X82.2%1.22
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 33% · No 67%Both teams scoreNo67%1.49
2.09 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Everton de Vina win53%1.89
Draw29%3.45
Universidad de Concepcion win18%5.56
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 74.2%
Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%
Away share of expected goals 25.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchEverton de Vina
DWLDW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchUniversidad de Concepcion
LLLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Win probability excluding draw
18%8
Points from supplied form
31.55
Expected goals
0.54Everton de VinaUniversidad de Concepcion
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Everton de Vina vs Universidad de Concepcion FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Everton de Vina win 53%，Draw 29%，Universidad de Concepcion win 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.09 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under。