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INT Chile - Liga de Primera · Spiel ·

Everton de Vina vs Universidad de Concepcion

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.09 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg53%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Everton de VinaUniversidad de Concepcion
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter65% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
53% / 29% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad de Concepcion win (17.7%)Doppelte Chance1X82.3%1.22
Über 35% · Unter 65%Goals 2.5Unter65%1.54
Ja 33% · Nein 67%Beide Teams treffenNein67%1.49
2.09 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Everton de Vina win53%1.89
Unentschieden29%3.45
Universidad de Concepcion win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Everton de Vina1.55

Heim share of expected goals 74.2%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 35% · Unter 65%

Universidad de Concepcion0.54

Auswärts share of expected goals 25.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nein 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Everton de Vina

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Universidad de Concepcion

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
0.54
Everton de VinaUniversidad de Concepcion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Everton de Vina signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universidad de Concepcion signalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Everton de Vina vs Universidad de Concepcion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Everton de Vina Gewinn 53%,Unentschieden 29%,Universidad de Concepcion Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · Über 2.5 35% · Current selection Unter