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SVK Slovakia Super Liga · Round 1 ·

MSK Zilina vs MFK Skalica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw25%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSK ZilinaMFK Skalica
Expected goals3.08Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 25% / 21%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MFK Skalica win (20.7%)Double chance1X79.3%1.26
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
3.08 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
MSK Zilina win54%1.85
Draw25%4.00
MFK Skalica win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Zilina2.13

Home share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals3.08Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

MFK Skalica0.95

Away share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MSK Zilina

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

MFK Skalica

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
13
2.13
Expected goals
0.95
MSK ZilinaMFK Skalica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Zilina signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MFK Skalica signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MSK Zilina vs MFK Skalica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Zilina win 54%,Draw 25%,MFK Skalica win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over