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ROU Romania Liga I · Fixture ·

CS U Craiova vs FC Arges Pitesti

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.87 expected goals
Away form
Home win57%
Draw26%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win57% selection probability
Projected score1–1CS U CraiovaFC Arges Pitesti
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 26% / 17%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Arges Pitesti win (16.7%)Double chance1X83.3%1.20
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 30% · No 70%Both teams scoreNo70%1.43
1.87 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapCS U Craiova winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CS U Craiova win57%1.751.5756.8%+0.2 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
FC Arges Pitesti win17%5.885.2517%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CS U Craiova1.35

Home share of expected goals 72.2%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

FC Arges Pitesti0.52

Away share of expected goals 27.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 30% · No 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CS U Craiova

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Arges Pitesti

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.35
Expected goals
0.52
CS U CraiovaFC Arges Pitesti
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CS U Craiova signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Arges Pitesti signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CS U Craiova vs FC Arges Pitesti FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CS U Craiova win 57%,Draw 26%,FC Arges Pitesti win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under