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ROU Rumänien - Liga 1 · Match ·

CS U Craiova vs FC Arges Pitesti

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.87 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger57%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger17%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger57% selection probability
Projected score1–1CS U CraiovaFC Arges Pitesti
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
57% / 26% / 17%MatchresultatHemmaseger57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Arges Pitesti win (16.7%)Dubbelchans1X83.3%1.20
Över 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Ja 30% · Nej 70%Båda lagen gör målNej70%1.43
1.87 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapCS U Craiova winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CS U Craiova win57%1.751.5756.8%+0.2 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
FC Arges Pitesti win17%5.885.2517%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CS U Craiova1.35

Hemma share of expected goals 72.2%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 29% · Under 71%

FC Arges Pitesti0.52

Borta share of expected goals 27.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 30% · Nej 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

CS U Craiova

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Arges Pitesti

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.35
Expected goals
0.52
CS U CraiovaFC Arges Pitesti
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CS U Craiova signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Arges Pitesti signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CS U Craiova vs FC Arges Pitesti FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CS U Craiova vunnen 57%,Oavgjort 26%,FC Arges Pitesti vunnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Över 2.5 29% · Current selection Under