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HUN Hungary NB I · Round 3 ·

Debreceni VSC vs Nyiregyhaza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.00 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw27%
Away win31%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Debreceni VSCNyiregyhaza
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 27% / 31%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Double chance1273%1.37
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
3.00 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDebreceni VSC winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Debreceni VSC win42%2.382.2040.8%+1.2 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Nyiregyhaza win31%3.232.8032%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Debreceni VSC1.79

Home share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

Nyiregyhaza1.21

Away share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Debreceni VSC

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Nyiregyhaza

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.79
Expected goals
1.21
Debreceni VSCNyiregyhaza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Debreceni VSC signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nyiregyhaza signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Debreceni VSC vs Nyiregyhaza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Debreceni VSC win 42%,Draw 27%,Nyiregyhaza win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over