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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Fixture ·

Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw30%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Rapid ViennaGrazer AK
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 30% / 30%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Double chance1270.4%1.42
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.48 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Rapid Vienna win41%2.44
Draw30%3.33
Grazer AK win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rapid Vienna1.41

Home share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Grazer AK1.07

Away share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Rapid Vienna

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Grazer AK

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
15
Points from supplied form
6
1.41
Expected goals
1.07
Rapid ViennaGrazer AK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rapid Vienna signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grazer AK signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rapid Vienna win 41%,Draw 30%,Grazer AK win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under