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ENG England League 2 · Fixture ·

Gillingham vs Walsall

Archived pre-match prediction

Home form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw29%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1GillinghamWalsall
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 29% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Double chance1270.9%1.41
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Gillingham win32%3.13
Draw29%3.45
Walsall win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gillingham1.19

Home share of expected goals 45.8%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Walsall1.41

Away share of expected goals 54.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gillingham

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Walsall

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
1.41
GillinghamWalsall
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gillingham signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Walsall signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Gillingham vs Walsall FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gillingham win 32%,Draw 29%,Walsall win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under