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DEU ドイツ DFBポカール · 試合 ·

MSVデュースブルク vs エルフェアスベルク

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.85 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利27%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利49%
Market-based forecastアウェイ勝利Tier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利49% selection probability
Projected score1–2MSVデュースブルクエルフェアスベルク
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
27% / 24% / 49%試合結果アウェイ勝利49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)ダブルチャンス1275.9%1.32
オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%Goals 2.5オーバー54%1.85
はい 56% · いいえ 44%両チーム得点はい56%1.79
2.85 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSVデュースブルク win27%3.703.5026.8%
引き分け24%4.173.9024.1%
エルフェアスベルク win49%2.041.9149.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSVデュースブルク1.18

ホーム share of expected goals 41.4%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%

エルフェアスベルク1.67

アウェイ share of expected goals 58.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 56% · いいえ 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

MSVデュースブルク

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

エルフェアスベルク

1.75pts / match
試合数4Wins2Drawn1Losses1ポイント7

Signalアウェイ won 2/4 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
勝ち probability excluding draw
49%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.18
Expected goals
1.67
MSVデュースブルクエルフェアスベルク
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSVデュースブルク signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02エルフェアスベルク signalアウェイ won 2/4 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

MSVデュースブルク vs エルフェアスベルク FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSVデュースブルク 勝ち 27%,引き分け 24%,エルフェアスベルク 勝ち 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · オーバー 2.5 54% · Current selection オーバー