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MSV Duisburg vs Elversberg

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–22.85 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg27%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg49%
Market-based forecastAuswärtssiegTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg49% selection probability
Projected score1–2MSV DuisburgElversberg
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
27% / 24% / 49%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Doppelte Chance1275.9%1.32
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 56% · Nein 44%Beide Teams treffenJa56%1.79
2.85 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
9.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSV Duisburg win27%3.703.5026.8%
Unentschieden24%4.173.9024.1%
Elversberg win49%2.041.9149.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSV Duisburg1.18

Heim share of expected goals 41.4%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

Elversberg1.67

Auswärts share of expected goals 58.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 56% · Nein 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

MSV Duisburg

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Elversberg

1.75pts / match
Gespielt4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Punkte7

SignalAuswärts won 2/4 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
49%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.18
Expected goals
1.67
MSV DuisburgElversberg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSV Duisburg signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Elversberg signalAuswärts won 2/4 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

MSV Duisburg vs Elversberg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSV Duisburg Gewinn 27%,Unentschieden 24%,Elversberg Gewinn 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über