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DEU Alemania - DFB-Pokal · Partido ·

MSV Duisburgo vs Elversberg

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.85 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local27%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante49%
Market-based forecastVictoria visitanteTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante49% selection probability
Projected score1–2MSV DuisburgoElversberg
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
27% / 24% / 49%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Doble Oportunidad1275.9%1.32
Más de 54% · Menos de 46%Goals 2.5Más de54%1.85
Sí 56% · No 44%Ambos equipos marcan56%1.79
2.85 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSV Duisburgo win27%3.703.5026.8%
Empate24%4.173.9024.1%
Elversberg win49%2.041.9149.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSV Duisburgo1.18

Local share of expected goals 41.4%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 54% · Menos de 46%

Elversberg1.67

Visitante share of expected goals 58.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

MSV Duisburgo

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Elversberg

1.75pts / match
Jugados4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Puntos7

SignalVisitante won 2/4 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Ganado probability excluding draw
49%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.18
Expected goals
1.67
MSV DuisburgoElversberg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSV Duisburgo signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Elversberg signalVisitante won 2/4 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

MSV Duisburgo vs Elversberg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSV Duisburgo ganada 27%,Empate 24%,Elversberg ganada 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Más de 2.5 54% · Current selection Más de