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ADグレシア vs ケポス・カンブーテFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–23.54 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利35%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score2–2ADグレシアケポス・カンブーテFC
Expected goals3.54始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー69% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 25% / 35%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)ダブルチャンス1274.5%1.34
オーバー 69% · アンダー 31%Goals 2.5オーバー69%1.45
はい 69% · いいえ 31%両チーム得点はい69%1.45
3.54 total expected goals正確なスコア2–2
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapケポス・カンブーテFC winDifference+0.8 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ADグレシア win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
引き分け25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp
ケポス・カンブーテFC win35%2.862.6334.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ADグレシア1.73

ホーム share of expected goals 48.9%

Total expected goals3.54始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 69% · アンダー 31%

ケポス・カンブーテFC1.81

アウェイ share of expected goals 51.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitはい 69% · いいえ 31%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ADグレシア

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ケポス・カンブーテFC

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
35%
3
Points from supplied form
10
1.73
Expected goals
1.81
ADグレシアケポス・カンブーテFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ADグレシア signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ケポス・カンブーテFC signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ADグレシア vs ケポス・カンブーテFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ADグレシア 勝ち 40%,引き分け 25%,ケポス・カンブーテFC 勝ち 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.54 · オーバー 2.5 69% · Current selection オーバー