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INT アメリカ MLSネクスト・プロリーグ · 試合 ·

ノーステキサスSC vs タコマ・デファイアンス

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.83 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利38%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利37%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–1ノーステキサスSCタコマ・デファイアンス
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
38% / 25% / 37%試合結果ホーム勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)ダブルチャンス1274.9%1.34
オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%Goals 2.5オーバー54%1.85
はい 58% · いいえ 42%両チーム得点はい58%1.72
2.83 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapノーステキサスSC winDifference+0.5 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ノーステキサスSC win38%2.632.4037.5%+0.5 pp
引き分け25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
タコマ・デファイアンス win37%2.702.4037.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ノーステキサスSC1.45

ホーム share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%

タコマ・デファイアンス1.38

アウェイ share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 58% · いいえ 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ノーステキサスSC

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

タコマ・デファイアンス

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
勝ち probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
12
1.45
Expected goals
1.38
ノーステキサスSCタコマ・デファイアンス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ノーステキサスSC signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02タコマ・デファイアンス signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ノーステキサスSC vs タコマ・デファイアンス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ノーステキサスSC 勝ち 38%,引き分け 25%,タコマ・デファイアンス 勝ち 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · オーバー 2.5 54% · Current selection オーバー