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INT USA - MLS Next Pro League · Spiel ·

North Texas SC vs Tacoma Defiance

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.83 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg37%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1North Texas SCTacoma Defiance
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 25% / 37%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Doppelte Chance1274.9%1.34
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 58% · Nein 42%Beide Teams treffenJa58%1.72
2.83 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapNorth Texas SC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
North Texas SC win38%2.632.4037.5%+0.5 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Tacoma Defiance win37%2.702.4037.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

North Texas SC1.45

Heim share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

Tacoma Defiance1.38

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nein 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

North Texas SC

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Tacoma Defiance

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
12
1.45
Expected goals
1.38
North Texas SCTacoma Defiance
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01North Texas SC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacoma Defiance signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

North Texas SC vs Tacoma Defiance FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

North Texas SC Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 25%,Tacoma Defiance Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über