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INT EE. UU. - Liga MLS Next Pro · Partido ·

North Texas SC vs Tacoma Defiance

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.83 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local42%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local42% selection probability
Projected score1–1North Texas SCTacoma Defiance
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
42% / 25% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Doble Oportunidad1275%1.33
Más de 54% · Menos de 46%Goals 2.5Más de54%1.85
Sí 58% · No 42%Ambos equipos marcan58%1.72
2.83 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapTacoma Defiance winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
North Texas SC win42%2.382.1541.8%+0.2 pp
Empate25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Tacoma Defiance win33%3.032.7033.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

North Texas SC1.45

Local share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 54% · Menos de 46%

Tacoma Defiance1.38

Visitante share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

North Texas SC

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Tacoma Defiance

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
12
1.45
Expected goals
1.38
North Texas SCTacoma Defiance
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01North Texas SC signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacoma Defiance signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

North Texas SC vs Tacoma Defiance FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

North Texas SC ganada 42%,Empate 25%,Tacoma Defiance ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Más de 2.5 54% · Current selection Más de