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CHE スイス チャレンジリーグ · 試合 ·

ヴィンタートゥール vs ヴィル1900

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利33%
Baseline forecastホーム勝利Tier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score2–1ヴィンタートゥールヴィル1900
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー57% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 24% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)ダブルチャンス1275.8%1.32
オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%Goals 2.5オーバー57%1.75
はい 60% · いいえ 40%両チーム得点はい60%1.67
2.98 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ヴィンタートゥール win43%2.33
引き分け24%4.17
ヴィル1900 win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ヴィンタートゥール1.60

ホーム share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%

ヴィル19001.38

アウェイ share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 60% · いいえ 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ヴィンタートゥール

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヴィル1900

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.60
Expected goals
1.38
ヴィンタートゥールヴィル1900
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ヴィンタートゥール signalホーム unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヴィル1900 signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

ヴィンタートゥール vs ヴィル1900 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ヴィンタートゥール 勝ち 43%,引き分け 24%,ヴィル1900 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · オーバー 2.5 57% · Current selection オーバー