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CHE Schweiz - Challenge League · Final ·

Winterthur vs Wil 1900

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score5–0Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr43%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr33%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 43% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr43% selection probability
Projected score2–1WinterthurWil 1900
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
43% / 24% / 33%KampresultatHjemmesejr43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Dobbeltchance1275.8%1.32
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Begge hold scorerJa60%1.67
2.98 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Winterthur win43%2.33
Uafgjort24%4.17
Wil 1900 win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Winterthur1.60

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Wil 19001.38

Ude share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Winterthur

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Point3

SignalHjemme unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Ude-context · form sequence

Wil 1900

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vundet probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.60
Expected goals
1.38
WinterthurWil 1900
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Winterthur signalHjemme unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wil 1900 signalUde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Winterthur vs Wil 1900 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Winterthur vundet 43%,Uafgjort 24%,Wil 1900 vundet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over