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BGR ブルガリア ファーストリーグ · 試合 ·

CSKA 1948ソフィア vs ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.33 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利53%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利19%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利53% selection probability
Projected score2–1CSKA 1948ソフィアロコモティフ・プロヴディフ
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
53% / 28% / 19%試合結果ホーム勝利53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ win (19%)ダブルチャンス1X81%1.23
オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%Goals 2.5アンダー59%1.69
はい 39% · いいえ 61%両チーム得点いいえ61%1.64
2.33 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.1 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
CSKA 1948ソフィア win53%1.89
引き分け28%3.57
ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CSKA 1948ソフィア1.68

ホーム share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%

ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ0.65

アウェイ share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 39% · いいえ 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

CSKA 1948ソフィア

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalアウェイ failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
勝ち probability excluding draw
19%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.68
Expected goals
0.65
CSKA 1948ソフィアロコモティフ・プロヴディフ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CSKA 1948ソフィア signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ signalアウェイ failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CSKA 1948ソフィア vs ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CSKA 1948ソフィア 勝ち 53%,引き分け 28%,ロコモティフ・プロヴディフ 勝ち 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · オーバー 2.5 41% · Current selection アンダー