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JPN J3リーグ · Round 1 ·

栃木SC vs ツエーゲン金沢

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利41%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利41% selection probability
Projected score1–1栃木SCツエーゲン金沢
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
41% / 29% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)ダブルチャンス1271.3%1.40
オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%Goals 2.5アンダー53%1.89
はい 52% · いいえ 48%両チーム得点はい52%1.92
2.56 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.3 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gap栃木SC winDifference-0.5 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
栃木SC win41%2.442.1541.5%-0.5 pp
引き分け29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
ツエーゲン金沢 win30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

栃木SC1.38

ホーム share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%

ツエーゲン金沢1.18

アウェイ share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 52% · いいえ 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

栃木SC

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ツエーゲン金沢

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.38
Expected goals
1.18
栃木SCツエーゲン金沢
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01栃木SC signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ツエーゲン金沢 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

栃木SC vs ツエーゲン金沢 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

栃木SC 勝ち 41%,引き分け 29%,ツエーゲン金沢 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · オーバー 2.5 47% · Current selection アンダー