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ARG アルゼンチン プリメーラCメトロポリターナ · Final ·

ベラザテギ vs セントロ・エスパニョル

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score0–1予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利49%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利22%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction 不的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利49% selection probability
Projected score2–1ベラザテギセントロ・エスパニョル
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
49% / 29% / 22%試合結果ホーム勝利49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes セントロ・エスパニョル win (22.1%)ダブルチャンス1X77.9%1.28
オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%Goals 2.5アンダー60%1.67
はい 42% · いいえ 58%両チーム得点いいえ58%1.72
2.27 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ベラザテギ win49%2.04
引き分け29%3.45
セントロ・エスパニョル win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ベラザテギ1.53

ホーム share of expected goals 67.4%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%

セントロ・エスパニョル0.74

アウェイ share of expected goals 32.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 42% · いいえ 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ベラザテギ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

セントロ・エスパニョル

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
勝ち probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.53
Expected goals
0.74
ベラザテギセントロ・エスパニョル
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ベラザテギ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02セントロ・エスパニョル signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ベラザテギ vs セントロ・エスパニョル FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ベラザテギ 勝ち 49%,引き分け 29%,セントロ・エスパニョル 勝ち 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · オーバー 2.5 40% · Current selection アンダー