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WAL ウェールズ チャンピオンシップ南部 · 試合 ·

バグランドラゴンズ vs Pure Swansea

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利38%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利37%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利38% selection probability
Projected score2–1バグランドラゴンズPure Swansea
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
38% / 24% / 37%試合結果ホーム勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)ダブルチャンス1275.8%1.32
オーバー 59% · アンダー 41%Goals 2.5オーバー59%1.69
はい 61% · いいえ 39%両チーム得点はい61%1.64
3.04 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
バグランドラゴンズ win38%2.632.3538.1%
引き分け24%4.173.7024.2%
Pure Swansea win37%2.702.3837.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

バグランドラゴンズ1.55

ホーム share of expected goals 51%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 59% · アンダー 41%

Pure Swansea1.49

アウェイ share of expected goals 49%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 61% · いいえ 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

バグランドラゴンズ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

Pure Swansea

3.00pts / match
試合数1Wins1Drawn0Losses0ポイント3

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
勝ち probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
1.49
バグランドラゴンズPure Swansea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01バグランドラゴンズ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pure Swansea signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

バグランドラゴンズ vs Pure Swansea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

バグランドラゴンズ 勝ち 38%,引き分け 24%,Pure Swansea 勝ち 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · オーバー 2.5 59% · Current selection オーバー