Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
61% / 27% / 12%Esito partitaVittoria casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes America MG (F) win (12.2%)Doppia Chance1X87.8%1.14
Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%Goals 2.5Sotto63%1.59
Sì 26% · No 74%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo74%1.35
2.16 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–0——
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Fluminense (F) win61%1.64
Pareggio27%3.70
America MG (F) win12%8.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 82.9%
Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%
Trasferta share of expected goals 17.1%
Projected score2–0BTTS splitSì 26% · No 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFluminense (F)
WWLDL
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAmerica MG (F)
DLLWL
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4
SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
61%
Vinta probability excluding draw
12%7
Points from supplied form
41.79
Expected goals
0.37Fluminense (F)America MG (F)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Fluminense (F) vs America MG (F) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–0 · 61% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Fluminense (F) vinta 61%，Pareggio 27%，America MG (F) vinta 12%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.16 · Sopra 2.5 37% · Current selection Sotto。