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INT Brasilien - Serie A1 - Frauen · Final ·

Fluminense (F) vs America MG (F)

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score4–1Prognose 2–0
Auswärts form
Heimsieg61%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg12%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 61% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg61% selection probability
Projected score2–0Fluminense (F)America MG (F)
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
61% / 27% / 12%SpielergebnisHeimsieg61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes America MG (F) win (12.2%)Doppelte Chance1X87.8%1.14
Über 37% · Unter 63%Goals 2.5Unter63%1.59
Ja 26% · Nein 74%Beide Teams treffenNein74%1.35
2.16 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–0
9.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Fluminense (F) win61%1.64
Unentschieden27%3.70
America MG (F) win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fluminense (F)1.79

Heim share of expected goals 82.9%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 37% · Unter 63%

America MG (F)0.37

Auswärts share of expected goals 17.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 26% · Nein 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Fluminense (F)

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

America MG (F)

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.79
Expected goals
0.37
Fluminense (F)America MG (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fluminense (F) signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02America MG (F) signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Fluminense (F) vs America MG (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–0 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fluminense (F) Gewinn 61%,Unentschieden 27%,America MG (F) Gewinn 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Über 2.5 37% · Current selection Unter