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SRB Serbia - Super Liga · Partita ·

Partizan Belgrado vs OFK Beograd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa45%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite28%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Partizan BelgradoOFK Beograd
Expected goals3.07Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra59% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
45% / 27% / 28%Esito partitaVittoria casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Doppia Chance1273.2%1.37
Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%Goals 2.5Sopra59%1.69
Sì 60% · No 40%Entrambe le squadre segnano60%1.67
3.07 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Partizan Belgrado win45%2.22
Pareggio27%3.70
OFK Beograd win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Partizan Belgrado1.82

Casa share of expected goals 59.3%

Total expected goals3.07Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%

OFK Beograd1.25

Trasferta share of expected goals 40.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 60% · No 40%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Partizan Belgrado

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

OFK Beograd

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vinta probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.82
Expected goals
1.25
Partizan BelgradoOFK Beograd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Partizan Belgrado signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OFK Beograd signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Partizan Belgrado vs OFK Beograd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Partizan Belgrado vinta 45%,Pareggio 27%,OFK Beograd vinta 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Sopra 2.5 59% · Current selection Sopra