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SRB Servië - Superliga · Wedstrijd ·

Partizan Belgrado vs OFK Beograd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst45%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst28%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Partizan BelgradoOFK Beograd
Expected goals3.07Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 27% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Dubbele Kans1273.2%1.37
Boven 59% · Onder 41%Goals 2.5Boven59%1.69
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
3.07 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Partizan Belgrado win45%2.22
Gelijkspel27%3.70
OFK Beograd win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Partizan Belgrado1.82

Thuis share of expected goals 59.3%

Total expected goals3.07Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 59% · Onder 41%

OFK Beograd1.25

Uit share of expected goals 40.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Partizan Belgrado

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

OFK Beograd

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.82
Expected goals
1.25
Partizan BelgradoOFK Beograd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Partizan Belgrado signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OFK Beograd signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Partizan Belgrado vs OFK Beograd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Partizan Belgrado gewonnen 45%,Gelijkspel 27%,OFK Beograd gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Boven 2.5 59% · Current selection Boven