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INT USA - MLS Next Pro League · Partita ·

Chicago Fire II vs Toronto FC ll

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.80 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa58%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite21%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Chicago Fire IIToronto FC ll
Expected goals3.80Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra73% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
58% / 21% / 21%Esito partitaVittoria casa58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Doppia Chance1279.4%1.26
Sopra 73% · Sotto 27%Goals 2.5Sopra73%1.37
Sì 68% · No 32%Entrambe le squadre segnano68%1.47
3.80 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapToronto FC ll winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chicago Fire II win58%1.721.5557.9%+0.1 pp
Pareggio21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp
Toronto FC ll win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chicago Fire II2.43

Casa share of expected goals 63.9%

Total expected goals3.80Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 73% · Sotto 27%

Toronto FC ll1.37

Trasferta share of expected goals 36.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 68% · No 32%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Chicago Fire II

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Toronto FC ll

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vinta probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.43
Expected goals
1.37
Chicago Fire IIToronto FC ll
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chicago Fire II signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Toronto FC ll signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Chicago Fire II vs Toronto FC ll FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chicago Fire II vinta 58%,Pareggio 21%,Toronto FC ll vinta 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.80 · Sopra 2.5 73% · Current selection Sopra