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JPN Giappone - Regional League · Partita ·

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–23.09 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa35%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite41%
Market-based forecastVittoria ospiteTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite41% selection probability
Projected score1–2MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Expected goals3.09Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
35% / 25% / 41%Esito partitaVittoria ospite41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Doppia Chance1275.2%1.33
Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%Goals 2.5Sopra60%1.67
Sì 62% · No 38%Entrambe le squadre segnano62%1.61
3.09 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
8.8 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MHI Nagasaki win35%2.862.6334.2%
Pareggio25%4.003.6025%
KMG Holdings win41%2.442.2040.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MHI Nagasaki1.49

Casa share of expected goals 48.2%

Total expected goals3.09Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%

KMG Holdings1.60

Trasferta share of expected goals 51.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 62% · No 38%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

MHI Nagasaki

0.33pts / match
Giocate3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Punti1

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/3

Trasferta-context · form sequence

KMG Holdings

3.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punti15

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vinta probability excluding draw
41%
1
Points from supplied form
15
1.49
Expected goals
1.60
MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MHI Nagasaki signalCasa failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KMG Holdings signalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MHI Nagasaki vinta 35%,Pareggio 25%,KMG Holdings vinta 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Sopra 2.5 60% · Current selection Sopra