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JPN Japan - Regional League · Spiel ·

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.09 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg35%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg41%
Market-based forecastAuswärtssiegTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg41% selection probability
Projected score1–2MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Expected goals3.09Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
35% / 25% / 41%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Doppelte Chance1275.2%1.33
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nein 38%Beide Teams treffenJa62%1.61
3.09 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MHI Nagasaki win35%2.862.6334.2%
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025%
KMG Holdings win41%2.442.2040.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MHI Nagasaki1.49

Heim share of expected goals 48.2%

Total expected goals3.09Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

KMG Holdings1.60

Auswärts share of expected goals 51.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nein 38%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

MHI Nagasaki

0.33pts / match
Gespielt3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Punkte1

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/3

Auswärts-context · form sequence

KMG Holdings

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
41%
1
Points from supplied form
15
1.49
Expected goals
1.60
MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MHI Nagasaki signalHeim failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KMG Holdings signalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MHI Nagasaki Gewinn 35%,Unentschieden 25%,KMG Holdings Gewinn 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über