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JPN Japan - Regionalliga · Kamp ·

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr28%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr48%
Market-based forecastUdesejrTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr48% selection probability
Projected score1–2MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Expected goals3.10Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
28% / 24% / 48%KampresultatUdesejr48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Dobbeltchance1276.4%1.31
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nej 38%Begge hold scorerJa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MHI Nagasaki win28%3.573.3027%
Uafgjort24%4.173.8023.5%
KMG Holdings win48%2.081.8049.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MHI Nagasaki1.37

Hjemme share of expected goals 44.2%

Total expected goals3.10Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

KMG Holdings1.73

Ude share of expected goals 55.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nej 38%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

MHI Nagasaki

0.33pts / match
Spillet3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Point1

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/3

Ude-context · form sequence

KMG Holdings

3.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Point15

SignalUde unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vundet probability excluding draw
48%
1
Points from supplied form
15
1.37
Expected goals
1.73
MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MHI Nagasaki signalHjemme failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KMG Holdings signalUde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MHI Nagasaki vundet 28%,Uafgjort 24%,KMG Holdings vundet 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over