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POL Polonia - Liga III · Partita ·

Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa35%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite42%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Jagiellonia Bialystok IIWigry Suwalki
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto57% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
35% / 24% / 42%Esito partitaVittoria ospite42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Doppia Chance1276.4%1.31
Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%Goals 2.5Sotto57%1.75
Sì 49% · No 51%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jagiellonia Bialystok II win35%2.862.6034.8%+0.2 pp
Pareggio24%4.173.9023.2%+0.8 pp
Wigry Suwalki win42%2.382.1542%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jagiellonia Bialystok II1.16

Casa share of expected goals 48.5%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%

Wigry Suwalki1.23

Trasferta share of expected goals 51.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Jagiellonia Bialystok II

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Wigry Suwalki

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vinta probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.16
Expected goals
1.23
Jagiellonia Bialystok IIWigry Suwalki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jagiellonia Bialystok II signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wigry Suwalki signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jagiellonia Bialystok II vinta 35%,Pareggio 24%,Wigry Suwalki vinta 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Sopra 2.5 43% · Current selection Sotto