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POL Polonia - III Liga · Partido ·

Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.39 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante39%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Jagiellonia Bialystok IIWigry Suwalki
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 24% / 39%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Doble Oportunidad1276%1.32
Más de 43% · Menos de 57%Goals 2.5Menos de57%1.75
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.39 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.6 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapJagiellonia Bialystok II winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jagiellonia Bialystok II win37%2.702.4037.4%-0.4 pp
Empate24%4.173.8023.6%+0.4 pp
Wigry Suwalki win39%2.562.3039%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jagiellonia Bialystok II1.16

Local share of expected goals 48.5%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 43% · Menos de 57%

Wigry Suwalki1.23

Visitante share of expected goals 51.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Jagiellonia Bialystok II

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Wigry Suwalki

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
39%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.16
Expected goals
1.23
Jagiellonia Bialystok IIWigry Suwalki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jagiellonia Bialystok II signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wigry Suwalki signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jagiellonia Bialystok II ganada 37%,Empate 24%,Wigry Suwalki ganada 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Más de 2.5 43% · Current selection Menos de