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ENG Inghilterra - National League Sud · Round 46 ·

Salisbury vs Hampton & Richmond

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.41 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa33%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite40%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite40% selection probability
Projected score1–1SalisburyHampton & Richmond
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto57% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
33% / 27% / 40%Esito partitaVittoria ospite40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Doppia Chance1272.7%1.38
Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%Goals 2.5Sotto57%1.75
Sì 49% · No 51%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51%1.96
2.41 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSalisbury winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Salisbury win33%3.032.8032%+1.0 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Hampton & Richmond win40%2.502.2040.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Salisbury1.38

Casa share of expected goals 57.3%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 43% · Sotto 57%

Hampton & Richmond1.03

Trasferta share of expected goals 42.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Salisbury

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Hampton & Richmond

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vinta probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.38
Expected goals
1.03
SalisburyHampton & Richmond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Salisbury signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hampton & Richmond signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Salisbury vs Hampton & Richmond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Salisbury vinta 33%,Pareggio 27%,Hampton & Richmond vinta 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Sopra 2.5 43% · Current selection Sotto