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ENG Англия - Национална Лига - Юг · Round 46 ·

Солсбъри vs Хемптън и Ричмънд

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.41 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина33%
Равен27%
Победа за госта40%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта40% selection probability
Projected score1–1СолсбъриХемптън и Ричмънд
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
33% / 27% / 40%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Двоен шанс1272.7%1.38
Над 43% · Под 57%Goals 2.5Под57%1.75
Да 49% · Не 51%И двата отбора да отбележатНе51%1.96
2.41 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapСолсбъри winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Солсбъри win33%3.032.8032%+1.0 pp
Равен27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Хемптън и Ричмънд win40%2.502.2040.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Солсбъри1.38

Домакин share of expected goals 57.3%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 43% · Под 57%

Хемптън и Ричмънд1.03

Гост share of expected goals 42.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Не 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Солсбъри

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Хемптън и Ричмънд

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.38
Expected goals
1.03
СолсбъриХемптън и Ричмънд
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Солсбъри signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хемптън и Ричмънд signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Солсбъри vs Хемптън и Ричмънд FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Солсбъри печеливш 33%,Равен 27%,Хемптън и Ричмънд печеливш 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Над 2.5 43% · Current selection Под