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POL Polonia - Liga III · Partita ·

MKS Kluczbork vs Gornik Polkowice

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.45 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa39%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite36%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa39% selection probability
Projected score2–2MKS KluczborkGornik Polkowice
Expected goals3.45Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra67% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano68% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 25% / 36%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Doppia Chance1275.2%1.33
Sopra 67% · Sotto 33%Goals 2.5Sopra67%1.49
Sì 68% · No 32%Entrambe le squadre segnano68%1.47
3.45 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
11.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMKS Kluczbork winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MKS Kluczbork win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Gornik Polkowice win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MKS Kluczbork1.72

Casa share of expected goals 49.9%

Total expected goals3.45Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 67% · Sotto 33%

Gornik Polkowice1.73

Trasferta share of expected goals 50.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 68% · No 32%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

MKS Kluczbork

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Gornik Polkowice

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.73
MKS KluczborkGornik Polkowice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MKS Kluczbork signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gornik Polkowice signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MKS Kluczbork vs Gornik Polkowice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MKS Kluczbork vinta 39%,Pareggio 25%,Gornik Polkowice vinta 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Sopra 2.5 67% · Current selection Sopra