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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

MKS Kluczbork vs Gornik Polkowice

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.45 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw25%
Away win36%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score2–2MKS KluczborkGornik Polkowice
Expected goals3.45Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes68% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 25% / 36%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Double chance1275.2%1.33
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.45 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
11.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMKS Kluczbork winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MKS Kluczbork win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Draw25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Gornik Polkowice win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MKS Kluczbork1.72

Home share of expected goals 49.9%

Total expected goals3.45Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Gornik Polkowice1.73

Away share of expected goals 50.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MKS Kluczbork

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Gornik Polkowice

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.72
Expected goals
1.73
MKS KluczborkGornik Polkowice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MKS Kluczbork signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gornik Polkowice signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MKS Kluczbork vs Gornik Polkowice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MKS Kluczbork win 39%,Draw 25%,Gornik Polkowice win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over