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ISL Islanda - Premier League · Partita ·

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–35.66 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite35%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score3–3Fram ReykjavikKR Reykjavik
Expected goals5.66Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra92% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano88% for the selected side
Expected corners12.4Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 22% / 35%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.5%)Doppia Chance1278.5%1.27
Sopra 92% · Sotto 8%Goals 2.5Sopra92%1.09
Sì 88% · No 12%Entrambe le squadre segnano88%1.14
5.66 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–3
12.4 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Fram Reykjavik win44%2.27
Pareggio22%4.55
KR Reykjavik win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fram Reykjavik3.05

Casa share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals5.66Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 92% · Sotto 8%

KR Reykjavik2.61

Trasferta share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score3–3BTTS split 88% · No 12%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Fram Reykjavik

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

KR Reykjavik

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
35%
11
Points from supplied form
8
3.05
Expected goals
2.61
Fram ReykjavikKR Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fram Reykjavik signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KR Reykjavik signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–3 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fram Reykjavik vinta 44%,Pareggio 22%,KR Reykjavik vinta 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.66 · Sopra 2.5 92% · Current selection Sopra