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PRY Paraguay Division Intermedia · Round 14 ·

Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa34%
Pareggio32%
Vittoria ospite35%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Encarnacion FCParaguari AC
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto65% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
34% / 32% / 35%Esito partitaVittoria ospite35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.5%)Doppia Chance1268.5%1.46
Sopra 35% · Sotto 65%Goals 2.5Sotto65%1.54
Sì 43% · No 57%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57%1.75
2.11 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Encarnacion FC win34%2.94
Pareggio32%3.13
Paraguari AC win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Encarnacion FC1.04

Casa share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 35% · Sotto 65%

Paraguari AC1.07

Trasferta share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Encarnacion FC

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Paraguari AC

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vinta probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.04
Expected goals
1.07
Encarnacion FCParaguari AC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Encarnacion FC signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paraguari AC signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Encarnacion FC vinta 34%,Pareggio 32%,Paraguari AC vinta 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Sopra 2.5 35% · Current selection Sotto