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PRY Paraguay Division Intermedia · Round 14 ·

Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr33%
Uafgjort32%
Udesejr35%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Encarnacion FCParaguari AC
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
33% / 32% / 35%KampresultatUdesejr35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.7%)Dobbeltchance1268.3%1.46
Over 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Begge hold scorerNej58%1.72
2.08 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Encarnacion FC win33%3.03
Uafgjort32%3.13
Paraguari AC win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Encarnacion FC1.02

Hjemme share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 34% · Under 66%

Paraguari AC1.06

Ude share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Encarnacion FC

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Paraguari AC

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vundet probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.06
Encarnacion FCParaguari AC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Encarnacion FC signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paraguari AC signalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Encarnacion FC vundet 33%,Uafgjort 32%,Paraguari AC vundet 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Over 2.5 34% · Current selection Under