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PRY Παραγουάη - Ντιβισιόν Ιντερμέντια · Round 14 ·

Ενκαρνασιόν vs Παραγκουάρι AC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου33%
Ισοπαλία32%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου35%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου35% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΕνκαρνασιόνΠαραγκουάρι AC
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω66% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
33% / 32% / 35%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1268.3%1.46
Άνω 34% · Κάτω 66%Goals 2.5Κάτω66%1.52
Ναι 42% · Όχι 58%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι58%1.72
2.08 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ενκαρνασιόν win33%3.03
Ισοπαλία32%3.13
Παραγκουάρι AC win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ενκαρνασιόν1.02

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 34% · Κάτω 66%

Παραγκουάρι AC1.06

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 42% · Όχι 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ενκαρνασιόν

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Παραγκουάρι AC

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.06
ΕνκαρνασιόνΠαραγκουάρι AC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ενκαρνασιόν signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Παραγκουάρι AC signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Ενκαρνασιόν vs Παραγκουάρι AC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ενκαρνασιόν νίκη 33%,Ισοπαλία 32%,Παραγκουάρι AC νίκη 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Άνω 2.5 34% · Current selection Κάτω