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ENG Inghilterra - EFL Cup · Partita ·

Burnley vs Notts County

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa63%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite15%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 63% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa63% selection probability
Projected score2–1BurnleyNotts County
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra52% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
63% / 22% / 15%Esito partitaVittoria casa63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Notts County win (14.9%)Doppia Chance1X85.1%1.18
Sopra 52% · Sotto 48%Goals 2.5Sopra52%1.92
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnano54%1.85
2.72 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Burnley win63%1.591.4265.3%
Pareggio22%4.554.3321.4%
Notts County win15%6.677.0013.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Burnley1.76

Casa share of expected goals 64.7%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 52% · Sotto 48%

Notts County0.96

Trasferta share of expected goals 35.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Burnley

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Notts County

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vinta probability excluding draw
15%
1
Points from supplied form
1
1.76
Expected goals
0.96
BurnleyNotts County
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Burnley signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Notts County signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Burnley vs Notts County FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Burnley vinta 63%,Pareggio 22%,Notts County vinta 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Sopra 2.5 52% · Current selection Sopra