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Burnley vs Notts County

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích37%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostů37%
Baseline forecastVýhra domácíchTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích37% selection probability
Projected score1–1BurnleyNotts County
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více50% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
37% / 26% / 37%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dvojitá šance1274.1%1.35
Více 50% · Méně 50%Goals 2.5Více50%2.00
Ano 55% · Ne 45%Oba týmy skórujíAno55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Burnley win37%2.70
Remíza26%3.85
Notts County win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Burnley1.35

Domácí share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 50% · Méně 50%

Notts County1.34

Hosté share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 55% · Ne 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Burnley

0.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Notts County

0.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalHosté matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Výhra probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
1
1.35
Expected goals
1.34
BurnleyNotts County
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Burnley signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Notts County signalHosté matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Burnley vs Notts County FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Burnley výhra 37%,Remíza 26%,Notts County výhra 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Více 2.5 50% · Current selection Více