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ENG Angleterre - EFL Cup · Match ·

Burnley vs Notts County

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile37% selection probability
Projected score1–1BurnleyNotts County
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de50% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 26% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Double chance1274.1%1.35
Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%Goals 2.5Plus de50%2.00
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Burnley win37%2.70
Nul26%3.85
Notts County win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Burnley1.35

Domicile share of expected goals 50.2%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%

Notts County1.34

Extérieur share of expected goals 49.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Burnley

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Notts County

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
1
1.35
Expected goals
1.34
BurnleyNotts County
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Burnley signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Notts County signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Burnley vs Notts County FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Burnley victoire 37%,Nul 26%,Notts County victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Plus de 2.5 50% · Current selection Plus de