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ITA Italia - Coppa Italia · Final ·

Genoa vs Ascoli

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score4–1Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa64%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite15%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 64% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa64% selection probability
Projected score2–1GenoaAscoli
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto50% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
64% / 21% / 15%Esito partitaVittoria casa64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ascoli win (15%)Doppia Chance1X85%1.18
Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%Goals 2.5Sotto50%2.00
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.66 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genoa win64%1.561.4564.7%
Pareggio21%4.764.5020.9%
Ascoli win15%6.676.5014.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Genoa1.83

Casa share of expected goals 68.8%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%

Ascoli0.83

Trasferta share of expected goals 31.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Genoa

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Ascoli

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Vinta probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
0.83
GenoaAscoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Genoa signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ascoli signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Genoa vs Ascoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Genoa vinta 64%,Pareggio 21%,Ascoli vinta 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Sopra 2.5 50% · Current selection Sotto