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ITA Italia - Copa de Italia · Final ·

Genoa vs Ascoli

Prediction review

Local form
Final score4–1Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local64%
Empate21%
Victoria visitante15%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 64% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local64% selection probability
Projected score2–1GenoaAscoli
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de50% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
64% / 21% / 15%Resultado del partidoVictoria local64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ascoli win (15%)Doble Oportunidad1X85%1.18
Más de 50% · Menos de 50%Goals 2.5Menos de50%2.00
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.66 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genoa win64%1.561.4564.7%
Empate21%4.764.5020.9%
Ascoli win15%6.676.5014.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Genoa1.83

Local share of expected goals 68.8%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 50% · Menos de 50%

Ascoli0.83

Visitante share of expected goals 31.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Genoa

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ascoli

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Ganado probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
0.83
GenoaAscoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Genoa signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ascoli signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Genoa vs Ascoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Genoa ganada 64%,Empate 21%,Ascoli ganada 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Más de 2.5 50% · Current selection Menos de