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ITA Italia - Coppa Italia · Partita ·

Sassuolo vs Cesena

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa60%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite17%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 60% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa60% selection probability
Projected score2–1SassuoloCesena
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra50% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
60% / 23% / 17%Esito partitaVittoria casa60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cesena win (17.3%)Doppia Chance1X82.7%1.21
Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%Goals 2.5Sopra50%2.00
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo50%2.00
2.68 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sassuolo win60%1.671.5560.2%
Pareggio23%4.354.1022.8%
Cesena win17%5.885.5017%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sassuolo1.79

Casa share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%

Cesena0.89

Trasferta share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sassuolo

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Cesena

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vinta probability excluding draw
17%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.79
Expected goals
0.89
SassuoloCesena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sassuolo signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cesena signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Sassuolo vs Cesena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sassuolo vinta 60%,Pareggio 23%,Cesena vinta 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Sopra 2.5 50% · Current selection Sopra