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ITA Italië - Coppa Italia · Wedstrijd ·

Sassuolo vs Cesena

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst60%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst17%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 60% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst60% selection probability
Projected score2–1SassuoloCesena
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven50% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
60% / 23% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cesena win (17.3%)Dubbele Kans1X82.7%1.21
Boven 50% · Onder 50%Goals 2.5Boven50%2.00
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenNee50%2.00
2.68 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sassuolo win60%1.671.5560.2%
Gelijkspel23%4.354.1022.8%
Cesena win17%5.885.5017%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sassuolo1.79

Thuis share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 50% · Onder 50%

Cesena0.89

Uit share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sassuolo

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Cesena

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.79
Expected goals
0.89
SassuoloCesena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sassuolo signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cesena signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Sassuolo vs Cesena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sassuolo gewonnen 60%,Gelijkspel 23%,Cesena gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Boven 2.5 50% · Current selection Boven