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PRT Portogallo - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Juventude de Evora vs Alcochetense

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score3–2Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa36%
Pareggio33%
Vittoria ospite31%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventude de EvoraAlcochetense
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
36% / 33% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alcochetense win (30.6%)Doppia Chance1X69.4%1.44
Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%Goals 2.5Sotto71%1.41
Sì 38% · No 62%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo62%1.61
1.89 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Juventude de Evora win36%2.78
Pareggio33%3.03
Alcochetense win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventude de Evora1.02

Casa share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%

Alcochetense0.87

Trasferta share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Juventude de Evora

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Alcochetense

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.02
Expected goals
0.87
Juventude de EvoraAlcochetense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventude de Evora signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alcochetense signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Juventude de Evora vs Alcochetense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventude de Evora vinta 36%,Pareggio 33%,Alcochetense vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Sopra 2.5 29% · Current selection Sotto